Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.223333 2.541336 2.879597 3.265205 3.691592 4.147627 4.671217
2025-01-05 1.721897 2.176915 2.699706 3.340022 4.098089 4.961788 6.014796
2025-01-12 1.324692 1.838869 2.472543 3.299311 4.336882 5.582705 7.177150
2025-01-19 1.084273 1.636694 2.360860 3.358200 4.672145 6.318614 8.508928
2025-01-26 0.900717 1.469807 2.259160 3.400001 4.968026 7.005868 9.806350
2025-02-02 0.763315 1.339607 2.181539 3.452276 5.265213 7.696918 11.132561
2025-02-09 0.638837 1.204706 2.074238 3.441953 5.462512 8.252640 12.295224
2025-02-16 0.528601 1.071510 1.948529 3.384374 5.577279 8.689200 13.304647
2025-02-23 0.456867 0.989412 1.889366 3.415889 5.815737 9.302158 14.576803
2025-03-02 0.384092 0.891738 1.790672 3.371454 5.929780 9.733809 15.602235
2025-03-09 0.336934 0.833174 1.749393 3.412404 6.172283 10.358454 16.924067
2025-03-16 0.290268 0.766630 1.684791 3.405632 6.334093 10.864215 18.085459
2025-03-23 0.265650 0.743522 1.699676 3.541587 6.743331 11.778483 19.913713
2025-03-30 0.239655 0.712823 1.696887 3.646354 7.108361 12.643194 21.706225
2025-04-06 0.203028 0.649742 1.622376 3.613169 7.236877 13.140208 22.954447
2025-04-13 0.180717 0.616571 1.603774 3.681097 7.541241 13.928635 24.681224
2025-04-20 0.159562 0.581484 1.576199 3.728078 7.809316 14.666719 26.352086
2025-04-27 0.141839 0.551466 1.555369 3.785238 8.096743 15.445617 28.111349
2025-05-04 0.122042 0.510322 1.503638 3.774474 8.257527 16.016947 29.552683
2025-05-11 0.102205 0.463233 1.430959 3.712575 8.317198 16.416369 30.723730
2025-05-18 0.090031 0.437230 1.405216 3.746604 8.558057 17.132721 32.435227
2025-05-25 0.075823 0.399628 1.344688 3.698741 8.636536 17.567340 33.688507
2025-06-01 0.067273 0.379755 1.326837 3.742888 8.895088 18.324274 35.500214